https://jonathanbelles.com/current-outlooks/2016-04-12T04:45:58+00:00weekly0.6https://jonathanbelles.com/2016/01/19/severe-weather-review-january-17th-2016/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-severe-reports.jpg011716 Severe ReportsSevere weather reports and warningshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-meteotsunami-and-surge1.png011716 meteotsunami and surgeObserved water levels from tidesandcurrents.noaa.govhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-meteotsunami-and-surge.png011716 meteotsunami and surgeObserved water levels from tidesandcurrents.noaa.govhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-naples-and-hardeedesoto-wind-damage1.png011716 Naples and HardeeDeSoto Wind DamageTwo selected damaging wind reports (NWS Tampa Bay, NWS Miami, and John Patrick - Naples Airplane)https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-naples-and-hardeedesoto-wind-damage.png011716 Naples and HardeeDeSoto Wind DamageTwo selected damaging wind reports (NWS Tampa Bay, NWS Miami, and John Patrick - Naples Airplane)https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-tors1.png011716 torsTornado Tracks, Pictures Warnings, and Reports (NWS Tampa Bay and NWS Melbourne, @WFLA)https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-tors.png011716 torstesthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-cape-progression.png011716 CAPE progressionSPC mesoanalysis of CAPE on the early morning of January 17th, 2016https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-dp-progression.png011716 DP progressionSPC mesoanalysis of dew point(°F) during the morning hours of January 17th, 2016https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/011716-01km-shear-progression.png011716 01km shear progressionWind shear progression on Sunday morning across Florida2016-01-19T19:50:04+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/10/03/hurricane-joaquin-sets-its-eye-on-bermuda-unconfirmed-reports-of-fatalities-in-the-bahamas-beginning-to-surface/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100415-0100z-ir.gif100415 0100z IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-2100z-seflood-qpf.gif100315 2100z SEFlood QPF24 Hour Precipitation Forecast ending 8 pm Mondayhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-0000z-joaquin-wind-and-rainfall.png100315 0000z Joaquin Wind and RainfallLeft: Forecast significant wave heights in feet. Right: Probabilities that winds greater than 40 mph may occur.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-joaquin-wv.jpg100315 Joaquin WVWater Vapor during the early afternoon of 03 Octoberhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-joaquin-mimic-full.gif100315 Joaquin MIMIC fullStitched MIMIC imagery from CIMSS from 01 Oct to 03 Oct2015-10-04T01:57:11+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/10/02/joaquin-relinquishing-control-of-the-bahamas-at-an-agonizingly-slow-speed-hurricane-to-begin-accelerating-overnight/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-0100z-joaquin-ir.gif100315 0100z Joaquin IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-2300z-joaquin-wind-and-waves-bermuda.jpg100215 2300z Joaquin Wind and Waves BermudaLeft: Forecast significant wave heights in feet. Right: Probabilities that winds greater than 40 mph may occur. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-joaquin-graphicast.png100315 Joaquin graphicasthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-0000z-track.png100315 0000z trackFrom Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100315-carolinas-rainfall.png100315 Carolinas Rainfallhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-tpw.gif100215 TPWTotal Precipitable Water over the last 72 hours/CIMSShttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-windmap.jpg100215 WindmapFrom Earth Nullschoolhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-0000z-joaquin-wind-and-rainfall.png100215 0000z Joaquin Wind and RainfallLeft: Past Joaquin tropical storm force winds in orange and hurricane force winds in red. Right: NHC experimental 24 hour rainfall ending at 02/18zhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-joaquin-vdm-track.jpg100215 Joaquin VDM Trackhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-1900z-joaquin-eye-over-san-salvador.jpg100215 1900z joaquin eye over san salvador2015-10-03T01:53:06+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/10/01/category-4-hurricane-joaquin-likely-causing-significant-damage-in-the-central-bahamas-a-look-at-us-impacts-and-the-weekend-ahead/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-0200z-joaquin-ir.gif100215 0200z Joaquin IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-0200z-joaquin-evening-flight.png100215 0200z Joaquin Evening FlightBackground graphic from Tropical Tidbits. Annotated with double wind maximum. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-0000z-90l-two.png100215 0000z 90L TWOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100215-0000z-joaquin-intnesity.png100215 0000z Joaquin IntnesityFrom Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100115-joaquin-track.png100115 Joaquin Trackhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100115-flood-risk-mid-atlantic.png100115 Flood Risk Mid Atlantichttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100115-joaquin-seas.png100115 Joaquin Seashttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100115-gfs-qpf-54-hr-rainfall.png100115 GFS QPF 54 hr rainfallGFS rainfall through 8pm Saturday/Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100115-1200z-carolinas-rainfall-7-days.jpg100115 1200z Carolinas Rainfall 7 dayshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/100115-central-apps-sat.jpg100115 Central apps satEast Central US Satellite Imagery and fronts2015-10-02T02:14:16+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/09/30/potentially-large-impacts-to-the-bahamas-and-the-us-hurricane-joaquin-continues-to-strengthen/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/100115-0000z-joaquin-intensity.png100115 0000z Joaquin Intensityhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/100115-0000z-joaquin-nhc.jpg100115 0000z Joaquin NHChttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/093015-joaquin-forecast-surf.gif093015 Joaquin forecast surf8am Thursday Surf and Wind Forecast/TAFBhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/093015-1800z-joaquin-rainfall-72hrs.png093015 1800z Joaquin Rainfall 72hrs18z GFS Rainfall Totalshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/093015-joaquin-50kt-wind-probs.jpg093015 Joaquin 50kt wind probsProbability that winds will match or exceed 60 mph. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/093015-joaquin-key-messages-2.jpg093015 Joaquin Key Messages 22015-10-01T01:00:41+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/30/erikas-remnants-cross-florida-hurricane-warnings-issued-for-the-cape-verde-islands/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083115-fred-0000z-track.jpg083115 Fred 0000z trackhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083015-erika-remnants-2154z-qpf.gif083015 Erika Remnants 2154z QPFhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083015-2100z-surface-analysis.gif083015 2100z Surface Analysishttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083015-erika-remnants-2315z-rgb.gif083015 Erika Remnants 2315z RGB2015-08-31T00:59:29+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/29/erika-remains-a-flood-threat-for-cuba-and-florida-invest-99l-threatens-the-cape-verde-islands/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083015-99l-gtwo2.jpg083015 99L GTWOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083015-99l-gtwo1.jpg083015 99L GTWOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083015-99l-gtwo.jpg083015 99L GTWOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082915-erika-remnants-nws.jpg082915 Erika Remnants NWSFrom the National Weather Servicehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082915-erika-remnants-2030z-wpc-qpf.gif082915 Erika Remnants 2030z WPC QPFhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/083015-erika-remnants-0000z-ir.gif083015 Erika Remnants 0000z IR2015-08-30T01:16:33+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/28/heavy-rain-moves-to-the-dominican-republic-erika-disorganized-but-eyes-cuba-and-florida/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082915-erika-0000z-nhc.jpg082915 Erika 0000z NHChttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082815-erika-seven-day-rain.jpg082815 Erika Seven Day Rainhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082815-erika-2300z-rgb.gif082815 Erika 2300z RGB2015-08-29T00:46:28+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/27/tropical-storm-erika-to-face-land-interaction-on-friday-with-long-term-repercussions-for-florida-bahamas/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-left-turn.jpg082715 Erika Left Turnhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-1800z-wind-probs.gif082715 Erika 1800z Wind Probshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082815-erika-0054z-pr-radar.jpg082815 Erika 0054z PR radar0054z Radar/Gibson Ridgehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082815-00z-erika-intensity.png082815 00z Erika Intensity00z Intensity Models/Tropical Tidbits https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-pr-new-rain.jpg082715 Erika PR new rainCurrent Forecast from NWS San Juan https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-dominica-airport.jpg082715 Erika Dominica AirportMarigot Airport in Dominica/@AlisonteleSUR on Twitterhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-1800z-track.jpg082715 Erika 1800z Track1800z Track Models plus extrapolationhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-2215z-vis.gif082715 Erika 2215z VisVisible imagery ending 6:15pm AST2015-08-28T01:32:37+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/26/erika-cycling-with-daily-swings-nearing-the-lesser-antilles-usbahamas-impact-uncertain/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-0000z-ts-force-winds.gif082715 Erika 0000z TS Force WindsChances of winds greater than 40 mphhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-0100z-radar-guadeloupe.jpg082715 Erika 0100z Radar Guadeloupe9 PM AST Guadeloupe Radarhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-00z-intensity1.png082715 Erika 00z Intensity00z Intensity Models/Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-0045z-ir.gif082715 Erika 0045z IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-00z-intensity.png082715 Erika 00z Intensity00z Intensity Models/Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082715-erika-00z-track.png082715 Erika 00z Track00z Track Models/Tropical Tidbits https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082615-erika-mid-layer-shear.gif082615 Erika Mid Layer ShearMid-level wind shear and wind streamlines/CIMSS2015-08-27T01:47:28+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/25/tropical-storm-erika-has-an-uncertain-future-with-possible-us-impacts/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082515-erika-18z-ts-wind.gif082515 Erika 18z TS Windhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082615-erika-0000z-spaghetti.jpg082615 Erika 0000z SpaghettiSelected 00z models. Official NHC track in whitehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082515-erika-1200z-euro.png082515 Erika 1200z Euro12z Euro/TropicalTidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082615-erika-0000z-nhc.gif082615 Erika 0000z NHChttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082515-erika-ml-shear.gif082515 Erika ML ShearMid-Level Shear/CIMSShttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082515-erika-2315z-ir.gif082515 Erika 2315z IR2015-08-26T01:11:00+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/24/invest-98l-now-on-the-radar-after-danny-dissipates-dry-air-and-vertical-shear-too-much-for-now/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082415-98l-1800z-model-tracks.jpg082415 98L 1800z Model TracksSelected 18z Models through 96 hourshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082415-98l-windsat.jpg082415 98L windsatWindsat scatterometry pass this afternoon https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082415-danny-2245z-dissipated.gif082415 Danny 2245z Dissipated2015-08-25T00:46:10+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/23/watching-the-heartbeat-monitor-on-tropical-storm-danny-as-it-approaches-dominica-and-guadeloupe-hawaiian-threats-lessened-but-tropical-storm-warnings-hoisted/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082415-danny-0000z-track.png082415 Danny 0000z TrackFrom Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-danny-1800z-gfs-rainfall.png082315 Danny 1800z GFS rainfall18z GFS Accumulated Rainfallhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-danny-2345z-ts-guadeloupe-radar-2.jpg082315 Danny 2345z TS Guadeloupe Radar 2Guadeloupe Radar at 2345zhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-kilo-11am-hst-adv.gif082315 Kilo 11am HST advhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-98l-2215z-ir-sat.gif082315 98L 2215z IR Sathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-danny-2215z-rgb-last-vis.gif082315 Danny 2215z RGB last vis2015-08-24T00:42:45+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/22/wind-shear-in-control-in-the-tropics-danny-and-kilo-likely-with-different-outcomes/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-danny-0000z-track-models.png082315 Danny 0000z Track Models00z Track Models from Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-danny-0000z-giv-flight-plus-sounding.jpg082315 Danny 0000z GIV flight plus soundingToday's GIV flight and P3 2300z radar imagery (NOAA) and the 23/00z sounding from Guadaloupehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-danny-0015z-ir.gif082315 Danny 0015z IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082315-gtwo-3-dist.png082315 GTWO 3 Disthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082215-danny-nw-giv-3-dropsonde-s.jpg082215 Danny NW GIV 3 Dropsonde sFrom NOAA Hurricane Huntershttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082215-kilo-11am-adv.gif082215 Kilo 11am Advhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082215-kilo-2230z-td-rgb.gif082215 Kilo 2230z TD RGB2015-08-23T01:30:06+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/21/tropics-going-gangbusters-while-danny-becomes-a-category-3-hurricane-hunters-busy/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-danny-21z-wind-probs.gif082115 Danny 21z wind probsProbability that Danny may cause winds greater than 40 mph to a certain locationhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082215-danny-00z-model-suite.jpg082215 Danny 00z Model SuiteFrom Tropical Tidbits https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-danny-2345z-wc.gif082115 Danny 2345z WChttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082215-danny-0000z-giv-recon.jpg082215 Danny 0000z GIV ReconNOAA Hurricane Hunter G-IV upper flight level data through 0015z and P3 radar at 1737zhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-danny-1621z-h2-radar.jpg082115 Danny 1621z H2 Radar1621z Radar/NOAA Hurricane Huntershttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-danny-2215z-h3-ir-early-shear.gif082115 Danny 2215z H3 IR early shearhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-kilo-21z-ts-force.gif082115 Kilo 21z TS Forcehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-kilo-21z-cphc-update.gif082115 Kilo 21z CPHC Update2015-08-22T08:45:40+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/20/micro-hurricane-danny-intensifies-as-it-eyes-the-caribbean-and-two-more-possible-threats/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-danny-00z-models.jpg082115 Danny 00z ModelsCourtesy Tropical Tidbitshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082115-danny-00z-ir.gif082115 Danny 00z IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-danny-2215z-mw.jpg082015 Danny 2215z MWhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-danny-mw.jpg082015 Danny MWNRLhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-danny-1945z-dry-air.jpg082015 Danny 1945z dry airDry air and small sizehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-tropical-threats-not-danny.jpg082015 Tropical Threats Not DannyTrack and Intensity Models for TD3C and Invest 97L. Courtesy of Tropical Tidbits.2015-08-21T01:01:17+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/19/tropical-storm-danny-burps-structure-still-in-tact/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-danny-00z-ts-wind-probs.gif082015 Danny 00z TS Wind ProbsChances that winds of 40 mph or greater within 5 days. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-danny-new-gif.gif082015 danny new gifClick here for water vapor imagery/GHCC NASAhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-danny-00z-track-models.png082015 Danny 00z Track Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/082015-danny-00z-intensity-models.png082015 Danny 00z Intensity Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081915-danny-18z-trends.png081915 Danny 18z Trends18z consensus model trends/Tang-UAlbanyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081915-danny-21z-mw-color.jpg081915 Danny 21z MW ColorMicrowave imagery showing structure/NRL 2015-08-20T04:06:40+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/18/danny-forms-in-the-central-atlantic-possible-threat-to-the-leeward-islands-next-week/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081915-danny-track.png081915 Danny Trackhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081815-danny-2345z-ir.gif081815 Danny 2345z IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081815-danny-tpw.gif081815 Danny TPWTotal precipitable water over the last 72 hours/CIMSShttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081815-danny-21z-mw.jpg081815 Danny 21z MWMicrowave imagery from 21z/NRL2015-08-19T01:13:47+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/08/17/tropics-show-signs-of-life-drought-relief/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081815-96l-00z-ascat.png081815 96L 00z ASCAT2356z ASCAT passhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081815-96l-00z-models.jpg081815 96L 00z Models00Z Model suite plus 18z GFDL/HWRF/AVNOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081715-96l-18z-hwrf-pw.jpg081715 96L 18z HWRF PW18z HWRF and Precipitable Waterhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081815-96l-rr-loop.gif081815 96L RR loopFrom Eumetsat. End of loop is 23:45zhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/081715-96l-23z-cpc-drought.jpg081715 96L 23z CPC DroughtDrought Monitor and Hazards Outlook released during the last week2015-08-18T12:41:07+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/about/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/p4010247-11.jpgMe2015-08-12T08:57:15+00:00weekly0.6https://jonathanbelles.com/contact/2015-08-12T08:55:50+00:00weekly0.6https://jonathanbelles.com/2015/07/13/weak-mid-atlantic-disturbance-turns-into-named-storm/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/071315-spc-reports.png071315 SPC Reportshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/071315-84hr-nam.png071315 84hr NAM18z NAM at 84 Hrhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/071315-claudette-13z-ascat.jpg071315 Claudette 13z ASCATASCAT imagery from 14z this morninghttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/071315-claudette-rgb-loop.gif071315 Claudette RGB Loop2015-07-14T01:49:08+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/07/06/the-atlantic-is-clear-but-the-tropics-are-very-active-out-west/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/070615-mjo-signal.jpg070615 MJO Signalhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/070615-wide-pacific-ir.jpg070615 Wide Pacific IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/070615-gom-water-temp.gif070615 GOM Water TempGulf of Mexico water temperatures in Celsius. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/070615-sal.png070615 SALDust across the Atlantic as modeled by NASA for this evening.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/070615-wide-atlantic-wv.gif070615 Wide Atlantic WVAtlantic water vapor imagery from July 6th2015-07-07T02:57:36+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/29/tropical-storm-bill-cross-country-rain-maker/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/062115-bill-spc-verification.jpg062115 Bill SPC verificationSPC 12z Outlook and verification on June 20th, 2015https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061915-bill-mesonet-video-gif-large.gif061915 Bill Mesonet Video GIF largeRadar, pressure, and winds from the Oklahoma Mesonet and NWShttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/062015-bill-radar-tx-and-ok.gif062015 Bill Radar TX and OKTropical Storm Bill Moving through TX and OK. Radar Loop from Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel Schoolhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/062315-7d-precip.jpg062315 7d precip7 day rainfall ending on June 23rd at 7am CT. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/062115-bill-full-track.png062115 Bill Full TrackFull Bill track. Data from NOAA, track from Wikipedia2015-06-30T00:29:37+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/17/tropical-depression-bill-is-crossing-the-red-river-heavy-rain-still-falling-in-the-south-central-us/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061715-bill-qpf-forecast.gif061715 Bill QPF ForecastAverage rainfall amounts through the next 72 hourshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061815-bill-00z-surface.gif061815 Bill 00z Surfacehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061815-bill-01z-river.jpg061815 Bill 01z Riverhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061815-bill-rainfall.jpg061815 Bill RainfallRainfall totals. Sources: -NWS: up until 12z 6/17 -OK Mesonet: Up until 00z 06/17https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061815-01z-bill-radar-loop.gif061815 01z Bill radar loopTexas radar loop. Courtesy of the NWS. 2015-06-18T03:20:35+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/16/bill-is-accelerating-across-the-lone-star-state/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061715-03z-nhc-track.gif061715 03z NHC trackhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061715-02z-bats.jpg061715 02z BatsSan Antonio has gone batty! https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061715-bill-00z-track.jpg061715 Bill 00z Track00Z/7p CT Track Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061615-bill-ndfd.png061615 Bill NDFDNWS forecast rainfall through Friday at 7pm CT. From WeatherBell. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061615-bill-nws-full-houston-radar.gif061615 Bill NWS Full Houston RadarNWS Houston Radar Loop. Courtesy Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel Schoolhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061715-bill-00z-sat.gif061715 Bill 00z SatRGB Satellite imagery of TS Bill this evening2015-06-17T03:01:17+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/15/11pm-bill-round-up/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061615-bill-03z-sat.gif061615 Bill 03z Sathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061615-bill-first-adv.gif061615 Bill first adv2015-06-16T03:51:10+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/15/effects-of-protostorm-bill-already-being-felt-ashore-system-and-residents-organizing/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061515-91l-scott-kelly-e1434416275564.jpg061515 91L Scott KellyFrom aboard the ISS. Taken by Scott Kelly.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061515-91l-16z-ascatb.png061515 91L 16z ASCATB16z ASCAT https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061515-91l-2345z-sat.gif061515 91L 2345z Sathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061615-91l-or-bill-00z-recon.jpg061615 91L or Bill 00z ReconFull recon flight through 00:20Zhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061515-91l-18z-track.jpg061515 91L 18z trackFrom Tropical Atlantichttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061515-91l-ndfd-rainfall.png061515 91L NDFD RainfallFrom WeatherBell/NWS2015-06-16T01:03:47+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/14/northwestern-gulf-soaker-development-chances-rising-hurricane-hunters-investigation-results/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-91l-11z-cyclone-building.jpg061415 91L 11z Cyclone BuildingRGB imagery from 12z at the beginning of the transitional process. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061515-91l-00z-rgb.gif061515 91L 00z RGBhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-heavy-rain.jpg061415 Heavy Rainhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-91l-2330z-recon.jpg061415 91L 2330z recon2015-06-15T01:14:34+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/14/mid-june-tc-climatology-in-the-western-gulf-historical-formation-and-outcomes/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-06z-track.jpg061415 06z track06Z Track Models from Tropical Atlantic.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-tc-within-200-of-orange-two.jpg061415 TC within 200 of Orange TWOHistoric tropical cyclone tracks over the last 150 years that have passed within the current NHC-marked area for possible development during the month of June. From NOAA.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-tcf-week1.jpg061415 tcf weekhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-tcf-week.jpg061415 tcf weekhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-tcf-week1.png061415 tcf weekCourtesy of the National Hurricane Center. Each red dots is a tropical cyclone formation since 151 in the Atlantic. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061415-tcf-week.png061415 tcf weekCourtesy of the NHC. Each dot represents a tropical cyclone formation. 2015-06-14T08:22:17+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/13/new-tropical-disturbance-brings-more-flooding-concerns-to-texas-and-louisiana/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061315-91l-prob-and-two.jpg061315 91L prob and twoCourtesy WPC and TWOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061315-91l-satellite-22z.gif061315 91L Satellite 22zhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061315-flooding-rivers.jpg061315 flooding riversMap showing all rivers that are at least near flood stage in Texas, Louisiana, and Oklahoma. Courtesy of the NWS. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/061315-30day-precip.jpg061315 30Day PrecipRainfall over the last 30 days. Areas in bright purple are areas that saw at least 8" of rainfall in that period. Courtesy of the NWS.2015-06-14T00:45:14+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/05/10/ana-downgraded-to-a-tropical-depression-national-weather-activity-on-a-downward-trend-finally/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050915-grinnell-ks.jpg050915 Grinnell, KShttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/051015-ana-track.png051015 Ana TrackFrom Wikipedia, subject to errors and updates.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/051015-ana-long-term-radar-mcnoldy.gif051015 Ana Long Term Radar McNoldyRadar imagery from Wilmington, NC over the last couple of days. From Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel Schoolhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/051015-busy-weather-day-joseph-cooper.jpg051015 Busy Weather Day - Joseph CooperThe NWS Watch and Warning map today as edited by Joseph Cooper. 2015-05-11T01:08:43+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/05/09/tropical-storm-ana-is-beginning-to-bring-rain-and-wind-to-the-carolina-coast/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050915-ana-dnb-viirs.png050915 Ana DNB VIIRSDay-Night Band VIIRS imagery from overnight on the 9th of May. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050915-18z-model-intensity.jpg050915 18Z Model IntensityModel intensities through 5 days. Courtesy Tropical Atlantic. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050915-18z-precip-estimates.jpg050915 18Z Precip Estimates*Experimental* product from the NHC that shows rainfall over the past 24 hours. The core of 4-6" may make some headway toward the Carolina coast overnight.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050915-ana-23z-wv.gif050915 Ana 23Z WVEvening water vapor over Tropical Storm Ana. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050915-ana-745pm-radar.jpg050915 Ana 745pm RadarReflectivity and Velocity from KLTX as of 7:45 PM ET. Blue values on velocity, right, are suggestive of winds in the 60 mph range (+/- 5 mph)2015-05-10T00:34:27+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/05/08/ana-is-transitioning-to-a-tropical-storm-rainy-mothers-weekend-on-the-beaches-shaping-up/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050815-ana-evening-flight.jpg050815 Ana Evening FlightReconnaissance data up until 9:35 PM ET. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050815-ana-from-space.jpg050815 Ana from SpaceSubtropical Storm Ana from the International Space Stationhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050815-ana-cyclone-phase.png050815 Ana Cyclone PhaseCyclone Phase diagrams from Florida State University. From the GFS model at 18Z. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050815-ana-rbtop-8pm.gif050815 Ana RBTop 8pmIR imagery of STS Ana this evening (8 PM ET). 2015-05-09T01:47:01+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/05/07/ana-is-coming-messy-mothers-day-weekend-in-the-carolinas/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050815-90l-pasta.jpg050815 90L PastaSpaghetti models for this evening. Data does not include this evening's reconnaissance data. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050715-90l-steering-currents.jpg050715 90L Steering CurrentsSteering currents for the 700-850 mb layer (kts)https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050715-90l-wv-2.jpg050715 90L WV 2Water vapor imagery from 7:37pm ET. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050715-90l-vis.gif050715 90L VisLate afternoon/early evening visible loop2015-05-08T01:13:00+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2015/05/06/tropics-are-creeping-to-life-when-does-ana-form/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050615-90l-spaghetti.jpg050615 90L Spaghettihttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050615-90l-chs-sounding.jpg050615 90L CHS Soundinghttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/050615-90l-sat.jpg050615 90L SatMost recent visible imagery before sunset over the system. 2015-05-28T01:35:58+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/20/tropical-disturbance-approaches-the-windward-islands-coin-flip-chance-of-development-in-the-long-term/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/082014-96l-two.jpg082014 96L TWOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/082014-_070214.jpg082014 _070214https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/082014-_072336.jpg082014 _072336https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/082014-96l-gefs.png082014 96L GEFSEnsemble members of the GFS2015-06-03T07:35:18+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/13/10-years-later-charley-starts-the-2004-atlantic-hurricane-season-my-memories/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/track.jpgtrackhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/noaa-hh.jpgNOAA HHNOAA's Hurricane Hunters. Image courtesy NOAA.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/xkcd.pngXKCDhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/quikscat-nasa.jpgQuikScat NASAHurricane Ivan as seen by QuikScat in September 2004 from NASA.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/wind-swaths.pngWind Swathshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/rainfall.pngRainfallhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/tropical-twins.pngTropical Twinshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/ivan-surge.jpgIvan SurgeStorm Surge from Hurricane Ivanhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/radar.pngRadarRadar images near landfall of Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeannehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/2004-four-hurricanes-plus-one.png2004 Four Hurricanes Plus OneTracks of Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne.2014-08-13T21:11:55+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/11/a-trip-to-the-dentists-chair-the-seasonal-forecast/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/081114-tropical-instability.gif081114 Tropical Instabilityhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/081114-ssta.gif081114 SSTAhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080714-hurricane-season-outlook.jpg080714 Hurricane Season Outlook2014-08-12T03:16:58+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/10/julio-moves-into-the-open-pacific-while-the-atlantic-heats-up/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/081014-aej-and-94l.png081014 AEJ and 94Lhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/081014-julio-night-time-vis.jpg081014 Julio Night Time VisTime is 2:42AM in Hawaii when this night time visible image was taken. Well after dark local time. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/081114-ex-bertha-in-europe.png081114 Ex-Bertha in Europe2014-08-11T08:40:17+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/09/julio-turns-up-waters-north-of-hawaii-iselle-brings-heavy-rain/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080914-julio-hawaii-waves.png080914 Julio Hawaii WavesFrom WFO Honoluluhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080914-julio-satellite.jpg080914 Julio Satellitehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080914-julio-ts-winds.gif080914 Julio TS Windshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080914-iselle-radar.jpg080914 Iselle Radar2014-10-01T06:23:05+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/08/iselle-moves-past-the-big-islands-interacts-with-volcanoes/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-iselle-3d-radar.png080814 Iselle 3D radarhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080914-iselle-and-julio-00z-models.jpg080914 Iselle and Julio 00z Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-iselle-track-evening.gif080814 Iselle Track Eveninghttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-iselle-double-vortex.png080814 Iselle double vortexhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-iselle-big-island-flash-flood-warning.png080814 Iselle Big Island Flash Flood Warning2014-08-09T02:42:36+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/07/iselle-is-bearing-down-on-the-big-islands-while-julio-becomes-annular/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-hurricane-winds.png080814 Hurricane Windshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-iselle-impacts1.png080814 Iselle Impactshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-hawaiian-double-trouble.jpg080814 Hawaiian Double Troublehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080714-iselle-and-julio-wind-probs.png080714 Iselle and Julio Wind Probshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-iselle-impacts.png080814 Iselle Impactshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080814-h1-iselle-sat-loop.gif080814 H1 Iselle Sat Loop2014-08-08T03:44:19+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/07/hawaiian-1-2-punch-begins-tonight/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080714-iselle-mw.jpg080714 Iselle MWhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080714-iselle-impacts.png080714 Iselle Impactshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080714-iselle-and-julio.jpg080714 Iselle and Julio2014-08-07T19:59:17+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/06/hawaii-is-preparing-for-a-double-threat-hurricane-warnings-hoisted/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080714-iselle-wv.gif080714 Iselle WVHurricane Iselle continues to approach the Hawaiian islands. Dry air seems to be keeping its distance. Another hurricane lurks to the east of this cyclone. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080614-united-analysis.png080614 United Analysishttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/hurricane_iniki.jpgHurricane_Inikihttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080614-iselle-and-julio-intensity.png080614 Iselle and Julio Intensityhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080714-iselle-and-julio-vis-sat.jpg080714 Iselle and Julio Vis Sathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080614-iselle-and-julio-ts-force-winds.gif080614 Iselle and Julio TS Force WindsCombined probabilities that winds greater than 40 mph could impact the outlined area. Winds could be much stronger closer to the center of of both systems, and these probabilities on the islands will likely go up as the systems approach the islands. 2014-08-07T01:49:08+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/05/bertha-brings-rip-currents-high-waves-to-new-england-and-canada-hawaii-preparing-for-two-tropical-systems/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080514-iselle-and-julio-satellite.jpg080514 Iselle and Julio Satellitehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080614-bertha-sat-loop.gif080614 Bertha Sat Loophttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080514-iselle-and-julio-ts-winds.gif080514 Iselle and Julio TS Windshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080514-iselle-weakening.jpg080514 Iselle Weakeninghttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080514-iselle-annular.jpg080514 Iselle Annularhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080514-bertha-surface-analysis.png080514 Bertha Surface Analysis2014-08-06T02:17:39+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/my-mission/2014-12-07T06:13:45+00:00weekly0.6https://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/04/bertha-becomes-a-ragged-hurricane-and-we-start-looking-west/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080414-iselle-and-julio-wind-probs.png080414 Iselle and Julio Wind Probshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080414-iselle-annularish.gif080414 Iselle Annularishhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080514-bertha-sat-loop.gif080514 Bertha Sat Loophttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080514-bertha-track.png080514 Bertha Track2014-08-05T03:24:05+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/03/bertha-collects-her-belongings-and-winds-up-stronger/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080414-bertha-ir.gif080414 Bertha IRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080414-bertha-intensity-models-00z.png080414 Bertha Intensity models 00zhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080314-bertha-250-mb.png080314 Bertha 250 mb2014-08-04T02:52:06+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/02/bertha-is-a-tropical-wave-heavy-rain-likely-in-the-drbahamas-tonight-into-tomorrow/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080314-bertha-wave-track-models.png080314 Bertha Wave Track Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080314-bertha-sat-loop.gif080314 Bertha Sat Loophttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080214-bertha-winds.png080214 Bertha WindsPossible scenario that may help Bertha reform in the short term. Winds may be curved by the mountain ranges of Hispaniola. Wave Axis is in orange. Current winds are in red. Future possible winds in red dotted lines. NHC track in black.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080214-bertha-ts-winds.png080214 Bertha TS WindsForecast cone from the 8pm NHC advisory and forecast wind probabilities from the 5pm Advisory.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080214-bertha-wave.png080214 Bertha wave2014-08-03T03:39:33+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/01/bertha-continues-to-struggle-in-the-eastern-caribbean/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080214-bertha-mw.jpg080214 Bertha MWhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080214-bertha-sat-loop.gif080214 Bertha Sat Loophttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080114-bertha-intensity-models.png080114 Bertha Intensity modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/080214-bertha-wv.png080214 Bertha WV2014-08-02T03:01:22+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/31/93l-becomes-tropical-storm-bertha/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/080114-bertha-ts-1st-adv.gif080114 Bertha TS 1st Advhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/080114-93l-sat-blowup.gif080114 93L Sat blowuphttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/080114-93l-models.png080114 93L Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/073114-93l-recon.png073114 93L ReconHurricane Hunter path and wind speed within 93L this afternoon.2014-08-01T03:09:29+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/30/93l-fights-back-against-dry-air/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/073014-93l-wide-atl-winds.png073014 93L Wide ATL windshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/073014-93l-sat-loop-afternoon.gif073014 93L Sat loop afternoonhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/073014-93l-shear1.png073014 93L Shearhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/073014-93l-shear.png073014 93L Shear2014-07-30T22:35:37+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/29/drier-air-dictates-the-forecast-for-florida-and-93l/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072914-pr-drought.png072914 PR Droughthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072914-93l-pasta.png072914 93L Pastahttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072914-93l-cross-section-hwrf-24hr.png072914 93L Cross Section HWRF 24hrCross section of the HWRF 18Z run for 93L at 24 hours. Abundant dry air can be seen above 500 mb (18,000 ft) intruding through the center.https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072914-dp-tpa.png072914 DP TPAhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072914-fl-front.png072914 FL Front2014-07-30T01:06:36+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/28/new-tropical-depression-likely-soon/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072814-93l-loop.gif072814 93L Loophttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072814-93l-18z-track-models.png072814 93L 18z track modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072814-93l-18z-intensity-models.png072814 93L 18z intensity modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072814-93l-ascat.png072814 93L ASCAThttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072814-93l-two-8pm.png072814 93L TWO 8pmhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072814-93l-wv.jpg072814 93L WV2014-07-29T01:19:42+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/27/abnormal-cold-front-to-reach-florida-as-the-mdr-moistens/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072714-two-2pm.png072714 TWO 2pmhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072714-temp-drop.png072714 Temp DropTemperature Anomalies from the GFS on Thursday Morning. In celcius, but the take away from this is that blue/purple is cooler than average air. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072714-temp-drop.gif072714 Temp DropLong term temperature forecast for early August. Again, cooler than normal in blue. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072714-dp-meteograms.png072714 DP Meteogramshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/072714-dp-map-thursday-12z.png072714 DP Map Thursday 12ZWPC/GFS Depiction on Thursday morning. Dew points are shaded. Lifted index is contoured. 2014-08-17T00:42:38+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/03/hurricane-arthur-becomes-a-category-2-making-landfall-now/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070314-h2-arthur-1120p-radar.png070314 H2 Arthur 1120p Radarhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070314-arthur-zdr.png070314 Arthur ZDRhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070314-arthur-cc.png070314 Arthur CCCorrelation Coefficient. https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070314-h2-arthur-1115pm-satellite-loop.gif070314 H2 Arthur 1115pm Satellite Loophttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070314-h2-arthur-advisory-11pm.gif070314 H2 Arthur Advisory 11pmhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070314-h2-arthur-1045pm-3d-radar.png070314 H2 Arthur 1045pm 3D Radar2014-07-04T03:32:22+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/02/ts-arthur-strengthens-to-near-hurricane-strength-hurricane-warnings-hoisted/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070214-ts-arthur-1145pm-sat.gif070214 TS Arthur 1145pm Sathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070214-ts-arthur-11pm-models.png070214 TS Arthur 11pm Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070214-ts-arthur-11pm-sst.png070214 TS Arthur 11pm SSThttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070214-ts-arthur-11pm-sst-png.gif070214 TS Arthur 11pm SST.PNG2014-07-03T03:41:27+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/07/01/tropical-depression-1-forms-in-the-western-atlantic/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/070114-td1-sat.gif070114 TD1 Sat2014-07-01T06:09:39+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/06/30/slow-evolution-of-the-tropical-low-june-unlikely-to-see-atlantic-tropical-activity/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/063014-91l-satellite-loop.gif063014 91L Satellite loophttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/063014-91l-track-models.png063014 91L Track Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/063014-91l-intensity-models.png063014 91L Intensity Models2014-07-01T01:24:34+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/06/29/first-tropical-threat-may-arrive-with-the-fireworks/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/062914-91l-spaghetti.png062914 91L spaghettihttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/062914-hwrf-cross-section.png062914 HWRF Cross Sectionhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/062914-1km-91l-vis-loop.gif062914 1km 91L vis loop2014-06-30T02:18:30+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/05/10/upper-level-low-near-puerto-rico-is-showing-life/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/051014-qpf-7day.png051014 QPF 7dayhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/051014-ull-wv.png051014 ULL WVhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/051014-ull-sat-2.png051014 ULL Sat 22014-07-13T17:20:30+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/05/07/tropical-rains-for-mexico-florida/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/050714-weather-story.png050714 Weather Story2014-05-08T01:38:06+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/05/05/signs-of-summer-heat-for-now/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/050514-tropics-heat.png050514 Tropics + heat2014-05-05T23:17:25+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2014/01/09/my-thoughts-on-the-past-week-polar-vortex-ion/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/polar-vortex.jpgPolar Vortex2014-01-09T17:38:37+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/09/02/97l-caribbean-cruiser-or-hispaniola-hurricane/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/090213-97l-12a-sat.gif090213 97L 12a sathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/090113-10d-gen-pts.png090113 10d gen ptshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/090113-97l-vort.png090113 97L Vort2013-09-02T04:06:19+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/09/01/tropics-are-becoming-active/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/090113-97l-track.png090113 97L trackhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/090113-2a-two_atl.gif090113 2a two_atl2013-09-01T15:17:06+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/08/14/td5-forms-where-will-erin-form/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/081513-00z-92l-tracks.png081513 00z 92L trackshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/081413-92l-hpc.gif081413 92L HPC2013-08-15T03:02:35+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/08/13/tropical-tangerine-trouble-train/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/081313-93l-1045p.jpg081313 93L 1045phttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/081313-hpc-5-day.gif081313 HPC 5-dayhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/081313-92l-930p-ir.png081313 92L 930p IR2013-08-14T02:51:59+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/29/dorian-keeps-gasping-for-air-and-flossie-strengthens-impacts-to-the-greater-antilles-florida-and-hawaii/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072913-91l-1am-satellite.gif072913 91L 1am Satellitehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072913-flossie.gif072913 Flossiehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072913-00z-models.png072913 00Z Models2013-07-29T05:08:09+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/27/dorian-dies-but-flossie-makes-a-run-for-the-big-island/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072713-flossie-cphc-forecast.gif072713 Flossie CPHC Forecasthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072713-ex-dorian-environment-11pm.png072713 Ex-Dorian Environment 11pm2013-07-28T03:49:49+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/26/tough-environment-dries-out-displaces-and-disorganizes-dorian/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072613-dorian-11pm-sat-loop.gif072613 Dorian 11pm Sat Loop2013-07-27T02:50:33+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/26/a-short-update-on-dorian-tropical-wave/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072613-dorian-wve-ascat.png072613 Dorian Wve Ascathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072613-dorian-sat-loop.gif072613 dorian sat loop2013-07-26T17:28:27+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/25/a-day-of-ups-and-downs-in-dorians-world/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072513-dorian-models.png072513 Dorian Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072513-dorian-11p-cone.gif072513 Dorian 11p Conehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072513-dorian-satellite-loop-evening.gif072513 Dorian Satellite Loop Evening2013-07-26T03:44:50+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/24/tropical-storm-dorian-forms-intensity-and-track-forecast-two-different-stories/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072413-dorian-intensity.png072413 Dorian Intensityhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072413-dorian-map.png072413 dorian maphttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072413-dorian-11p.gif072413 Dorian 11p2013-07-25T04:06:14+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/24/tropical-depression-4-forms-threat-to-land-looms/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072413-td4-forecast.gif072413 TD4 Forecasthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/072413-td4-430-imagery.png072413 TD4 430 imagery2013-07-24T08:49:00+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/08/atlantic-tropical-briefing/2013-07-08T17:21:24+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/07/01/wet-pattern-continues-how-much-did-florida-get-in-june-will-the-tropics-flood-florida/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/070113-one-month-precip.gif070113 One Month Preciphttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/070113-ens-mjo.gif070113 Ens MJOhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/070113-update-graphic.png070113 Update Graphic2013-07-02T00:38:38+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/06/05/tropical-storm-andrea-has-formed-rainy-day-in-florida-on-thursday/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060513-sat.jpg060513 Sathttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060513-forecast.png060513 Forecasthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060513-hazards.png060513 Hazards2013-06-06T03:55:35+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/06/04/environment-is-improving-around-91l/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060413-spaghetti.png060413 spaghettihttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060413-hazards.png060413 Hazardshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060413-91l-current-shear.png060413 91L Current Shearhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060413-91l-vis.jpg060413 91L Vis2013-06-05T00:56:10+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/06/03/gulf-disturbance-91l-a-first-look-at-the-wet-week-in-store-for-florida/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060313-91l-models.png060313 91L Modelshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/060313-91l-two.gif060313 91L TWO2013-06-04T00:41:35+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/05/29/the-deadliest-part-of-storms-miles-away-from-the-coastline-inland-flooding/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/tc-rainfall.gifTC rainfall2013-05-30T03:15:56+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/05/28/do-you-know-where-to-hide-in-a-hurricane/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/sshws.pngSSHWShttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/gustav_size.pnggustav_size2013-05-29T02:52:50+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2013/05/27/do-you-know-what-the-most-threatening-part-of-a-hurricane-is/2013-05-28T01:20:20+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/your-eye/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/062412-ts-debby-pcola-beach.jpg062412 TS Debby Pcola BeachHigh surge in Pensacola Beach -- June 24th, 2012 by Christy Mcculskeyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/062412-ts-debby-brighthouse-field.jpg062412 TS Debby BrightHouse FieldFlooding in Brighthouse Field in Clearwater, FL -- June 24th, 2012 by Justin De Fratus @JustinDeFratushttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/062412-ts-debby-trinity-fl.jpg062412 TS Debby Trinity, FLFlooded streets 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TBW2012-06-23T01:06:39+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/06/21/chris-begins-to-weaken-and-the-home-brew-is-turned-on-high/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/062112-96l-forms-70-chance.jpg062112 96L Forms -- 70% chance2012-06-22T00:50:52+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/06/19/tropical-storm-chris-forms-debby-by-the-weekend/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/061912-gom-gefs-1008mb-120hrs.gif061912 GOM GEFS 1008mb 120hrshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/061912-chris-phase.png061912 Chris Phase2013-05-23T00:01:13+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/06/11/drenched-florida/2012-06-11T04:26:35+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/06/05/tropical-squeeze/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/060512-washout-amounts.gif060512 Washout Amountshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/060512-washout-ahead.gif060512 Washout Ahead2012-06-05T22:05:55+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/27/beryl-is-now-very-close-to-hurricane-status-making-landfall-around-midnight/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052712-hu-beryl-7pm.gif052712 HU Beryl 7pm2012-05-27T23:31:38+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/26/subtropical-storm-beryl-to-make-landfall-tomorrow-night/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052612-tropical-storm-beryl-impacts.jpg052612 Tropical Storm Beryl Impactshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052612-sts-beryl-wv.jpg052612 STS Beryl WV2012-05-27T03:18:44+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/25/subtropical-storm-beryl-arrives/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052512-beryl.jpg052512 Beryl2012-05-26T03:45:41+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/25/my-hurricane-forecast-and-floridas-severe-weather-outlook/2012-05-25T23:31:58+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/24/noaa-hurricane-forecast-9-15-ts-4-8-hu-and-1-3-mh/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052412-al94.jpg052412 AL942012-05-24T15:46:44+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/22/tropics-do-not-want-to-sleep-94l-forms/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052212-invest-94l1.png052212 Invest 94L2012-05-23T01:36:48+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/21/overnight-tropical-storm-alberto-update-2/2012-05-21T05:13:09+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/20/evening-tropical-storm-alberto-update/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052012-ts-alberto-stacey-garvilla-2.jpg052012 TS Alberto Stacey Garvilla 2https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052012-ts-alberto-evening-graphicast.jpg052012 TS Alberto Evening Graphicasthttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052012-ts-alberto-stacey-garvilla.jpg052012 TS Alberto Stacey Garvilla2012-05-20T22:44:10+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/20/overnight-tropical-storm-alberto-update/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/052112-ts-alberto-50mph.gif052112 TS Alberto -- 50mph2012-05-20T06:32:43+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/19/2012-hurricane-season-opens/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/051912-al92-ex.jpg051912 AL92-EXhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/051912-ts-alberto-radar.png051912 TS Alberto Radarhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/051912-ts-alberto-dew-point.png051912 TS Alberto Dew Point2012-05-20T01:57:45+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/13/panhandle-damage-your-forecast-and-your-tropical-update/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/051312-al92.jpg051312 AL922012-05-13T22:02:48+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/12/a-reminder-the-season-is-coming/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/051212-al92.jpg051212 AL922012-05-12T17:48:45+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/05/10/drier-air-or-wetter-weekend/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/050912-dew-point.png050912 Dew Pointhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/norm-7-day-050912.png%Norm 7-day 0509122012-05-10T04:47:29+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/03/23/mammoth-cyclone-covers-the-eastern-two-thirds-of-the-us-florida-impacts/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/cyclone-0322121.jpgMarch 22nd Cyclonehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/cyclone-032212.jpgMarch 22nd Cyclone 2012-04-02T21:34:19+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/03/16/march-15th-weathercast-from-4fsu/2012-03-16T07:02:21+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/03/13/march13flwx/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/031312-pollen.pngMarch 13th Pollenhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/031312-current-weather.pngMarch 13th current weather2012-03-13T05:52:23+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/03/10/325/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/031012-current-weather.pngMarch 10th 4am current weather2012-03-10T19:11:58+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2012/03/08/hellospring/2012-03-08T12:09:42+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/09/08/im-back-with-katia-maria-and-nate/2011-09-08T04:29:56+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/28/hurricane-irene-slideshow/2011-08-29T03:19:10+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/21/tropical-storm-irene-forms-likely-flus-threat/2011-08-21T04:04:21+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/13/tropical-storm-franklin-and-td-7-form/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/081311-franklin-td-7-92l-93l.jpg081311 Franklin...TD 7...92L...93L2011-08-14T02:18:03+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/11/four-blobabilities-and-the-return-of-emily/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/081111-four-blobabilities.jpg081111 Four Blobabilities!2011-08-12T00:37:16+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/10/tropical-storm-emily-verification-report-2/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/emily-verification-2.jpgEmily Verification 22011-08-11T01:31:46+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/06/emily-regenerates/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/080611-emily.gif080611 Emily2011-08-07T03:09:31+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/05/emily-verification-report-1/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/emily-verification-1.jpgEmily Verification 12011-08-05T04:35:48+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/04/hispaniola-1-tropical-storm-emily-0/2011-08-04T21:28:06+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/04/tropical-storm-emily-continues-west/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/080411-emily-forecast-3.jpg080411 Emily Forecast 32011-08-04T04:34:02+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/03/tropical-storm-emily-heading-differences/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/080311-direction-differences.jpg080311 Direction Differences2011-08-03T09:56:54+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/03/a-hop-skip-and-a-tropical-storm-emily-jump-forecast-2/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/080311-emily-forecast-2.jpg080311 Emily Forecast 22011-08-03T04:45:42+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/02/tropical-storm-emily-forecast-1/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/080211-emily-forecast-1.jpg080211 Emily Forecast 12011-08-02T04:55:14+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/01/tropical-storm-emily-has-formed/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/080111-emily.gif080111 Emily2011-08-01T23:59:05+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/08/01/cyclomitosis-what-really-happened-to-91l/2011-08-01T04:04:33+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/31/91l-almost-a-depression/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/073111-91l-9am.jpg073111 91L 9am2011-07-31T13:03:56+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/29/don-weakens-before-landfall/2011-07-30T03:54:15+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/29/don-is-beginning-to-move-ashore/2011-07-29T21:27:12+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/29/don-landfall-less-than-24-hours-away/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072911-don-landfall1.jpg072911 Don Landfallhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072911-don-landfall.jpg072911 Don Landfall2011-07-29T05:20:27+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/28/don-update/2011-07-29T02:57:59+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/28/don-is-back-on-track/2011-07-28T16:09:14+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/27/don-holds-on/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072711-don-40mph1.jpg072711 Don 40mphhttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072711-don-40mph.jpg072711 Don 40mph2011-07-28T04:15:39+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/27/ts-don-is-here/2011-07-27T21:18:51+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/27/recon-investigates-90l/2011-07-27T19:00:36+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/26/invest-90l-to-develop/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072611-90l.jpg072611 90L2011-07-27T03:03:36+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/20/going-bc/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/072011-bret-cindy.jpg072011 Bret Cindy2011-07-21T03:02:33+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/18/ts-bret-update-6pm/2011-07-18T21:53:40+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/17/the-second-name-of-the-list-is-crossed-off/2011-07-18T03:29:18+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/17/tropical-depression-2-forms-near-the-bahamas/2011-07-17T20:55:38+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/07/07/invest-96l-forms/2011-07-07T23:13:29+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/30/arlene-has-dissipated-severe-weather-and-drought-updates/2011-07-01T02:43:02+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/30/arlene-now-making-landfall/2011-06-30T09:00:22+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/30/arlene-close-to-landfall/2011-06-30T07:24:51+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/29/tropical-storm-intensifies/2011-06-29T19:35:56+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/29/arlene-organizing-graphic-only/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/062911-ts-arlene.jpg062911 TS Arlene2011-06-29T04:56:35+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/28/breaking-news-tropical-storm-arlene-forms/2011-06-29T00:11:15+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/28/code-red-cyclogenesis-imminent/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/062811-code-red-invest-95l.jpg062811 Code Red -- Invest 95L2011-06-28T23:08:59+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/28/recon-flying-toward-95l/2011-06-28T17:16:09+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/27/95l-declared/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/062711-95l.jpg062711 95L2011-06-28T01:55:27+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/26/tropics-are-alive-and-florida-is-wet/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/062611-percent-normal-180-days.jpg062611 Percent Normal 180 Dayshttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/062611-obs-rain-last-7-days.jpg062611 Obs Rain last 7 days2011-06-27T15:39:22+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/22/florida-summer-outlook/2011-06-22T04:58:08+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/21/wetter-times-ahead/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/062111-moisture1.jpg062111 Moisturehttps://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/062111-moisture.jpg062111 Moisture2011-06-21T05:35:15+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/17/bumpy-week-in-florida/2011-06-18T00:46:16+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/13/state-of-emergency-too-much-sunshine-in-the-sunshine-state/2011-06-14T03:27:20+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/09/rain-or-bugs-the-return/2011-06-10T02:08:15+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/06/wet-week-ahead-for-florida/2011-06-09T02:53:10+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/06/ups-and-downs-with-94l/2011-06-06T05:05:25+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/03/caribbean-low-answers-invest-94l/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/060311-94l.jpg060311 94L2011-06-04T02:28:15+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/02/caribbean-low-to-organize/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/cariblow-060211.jpgCarib Low 0602112011-06-03T02:52:14+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/01/heat-invests-and-tornadoes-oh-my/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/busynight-0601111.jpgBusy Night 060111https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/busynight-060111.jpgBusyNight 0601112011-06-02T02:59:31+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/06/01/wet-day-in-florida/2011-06-01T17:43:04+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/05/31/new-invest-near-nc/2011-06-01T05:01:22+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/05/29/slow-moving/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/description-052911.jpg500mb 0529112011-05-30T01:33:48+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/05/27/on-the-winds-of-change-rain-tropics/2011-05-28T00:53:45+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/05/26/tropical-trouble-to-start-the-season/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/tropical-trouble-052611.jpgTropical Trouble 0526112011-05-27T00:44:56+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/05/23/surface-map-of-the-southeastern-us/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/052311-7pm.jpegSurface Map of the SE US:May 23rd, 2011 7pmSurface map of the southeastern US. The afternoon sea breeze is seen pushing east across FL and away from the coast in GA. Mountains of high pressure are seen in the northern Gulf of Mexico and in the Atlantic (not pictured). Strong low pressure area is just moving into the picture in Oklahoma. Green X's signify points that I removed from my analysis.2011-05-26T03:16:36+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.com/2011/05/25/stormy-night/https://jonathanbelles.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/001-2.jpgSurface Map: May 25th, 2011 2011-05-26T03:14:24+00:00monthlyhttps://jonathanbelles.comdaily1.02016-04-12T04:45:58+00:00