Next Cold Front is Sliding In
High pressure is finally releasing it’s grip on the southeastern United States, and the frontal boundary that has been draped from the Great Lakes to the southern plains is beginning to get a good enough shove to the east that it is moving again. All of the warm air in the lower 48 has been trapped into the southeastern 4: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina. Even that warm air will be shunted into the Caribbean by the end of the week. As pictorialized below, the cold front separates air that is in the 50s and 60s from air that is below freezing over the remainder of the southeast.
It’s going to take a couple of days to get that cold front from the Mobile area to the eastern FL Panhandle, and then final to central and south Florida. I think the biggest chance of rain for Tallahassee will come Thursday afternoon, Orlando by Friday afternoon, and Miami very early Saturday into Saturday morning. As is typical this time of year, this front will be falling apart as it moves through the sunshine state, and chances will fall from 50-60% in the northern part of the state to 20-30% south of Lakeland. Below is how I believe the forecast will work out in Tallahassee:
And beware, this isn’t the only cold air coming to Florida this month…